New data: Home prices have moderated — but it might not last for long

October 10, 2019 - 1 min read

How about those home prices?

Home prices are still slowing down, jumping just 3.6 percent over the last year. But according to a new forecast, the trend might not last for long.

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Tracking home prices

The latest CoreLogic Home Price Index shows house prices were up just 3.6 percent in August — a big improvement from last year’s 5.5 percent jump.

According to CoreLogic’s chief economist Frank Nothaft, the slowdown was most significant on lower-priced properties.

“While the slowdown in appreciation occurred across the country at all price points, it was most pronounced at the lower end of the market,” Nothaft said. “Prices for the lowest-priced homes increased by 5.5 percent, compared with August 2018, when prices increased by 8.4 percent. This moderation in home-price growth should be welcome news to entry-level buyers.”

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Some cities saw even smaller jumps in housing prices. In Chicago, for example, prices rose just 1.5 percent over the last year. In San Diego and Houston, they increased 1.8 percent and 2.7 percent, respectively. The state of Connecticut actually saw house prices decline for the month, dipping 0.5 percent.

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Looking ahead

Though the stats are promising for potential homebuyers, CoreLogic’s HPI Forecast is less optimistic. According to the data, CoreLogic predicts home prices will increase 5.8 percent by the time next year.

Additionally, some states are seeing much bigger jumps than others. Idaho saw a whopping 11.6 percent uptick in house prices between August 2018 and 2019, while Utah’s prices rose 8 percent.

In total, more than a third of major metro areas are considered “overvalued.”

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Aly J. Yale
Authored By: Aly J. Yale
The Mortgage Reports contributor
Aly J. Yale is a mortgage and real estate writer based in Houston who has contributed to Forbes and worked for organizations such as The Dallas Morning News, PBS, NBC, and Radio Disney.