Population sprawl
Affordability challenges across the country caused home buyers — especially millennials and Gen Zers — to expand their searches farther and wider.
It resulted in booming growth in smaller locations well outside city centers. Some of these exurbs saw housing stock and population surge over 1,000% from 2013 to 2022, according to StorageCafe.
See which housing markets had droves of new residents and the biggest inventory spikes over that 10-year timeframe.
Check your home buying options. Start hereRocking the suburbs (and exurbs)
Exurbs — or areas with fewer than 250 residents per square mile — increased in popularity during the pandemic.
House hunters, no longer tethered to their physical offices around urban cores, departed in bunches seeking more space for less money. The ongoing lack of affordability and available for-sale homes that defined the U.S. housing market over the past decade drove this trend as well.
All told from 2013 to 2022, housing inventory grew 15% in exurbs compared to 14% in suburbs and 10% in cities, according to the report. The rates of population growth followed a similar pattern, with exurbs rising 16%, versus 13% for suburbs and 9% for cities. For its analysis, StorageCafe took data from 4,098 markets. The table below shows the average growth by market type:
Principal City | Suburb | Exurb | |
Housing Inventory | 10% | 14% | 15% |
Population | 9% | 13% | 16% |
The report does note that smaller, less crowded places have the ability to expand at a faster rate than cities since land is more available and affordable, usually with looser zoning regulations and less bureaucratic red tape.
With comparatively higher (and likely newer) inventory growth coupled with the potential to buy land and build a property, aspiring homeowners may want to expand their search to the exurbs — especially if you want more space or a quieter place.
Due to the area’s burgeoning economy, Vineyard, Utah led the country in housing stock gains from 2013 to 2022. Inventory in the former-exurb-now-suburb of Provo surged 7,204% over that timeframe. Blackwells Mills, N.J., came next with a 10-year growth rate of 1,980%. Fulshear, Texas (1,138%), Woodbridge, Va., (692%), and Nocatee, Fla., (382%) rounded out the top five.
In addition to Vineyard, swelling populations pushed other places from being defined as an exurb in 2013, to a suburb by 2022 — including Blackwells Mills, Fulshear, Nocatee, and Celina, Texas.
The table below shows the top 20 U.S. markets with the largest housing stock growth from 2013 to 2022, according to StorageCafe:
Rank | City | Metro Area | 10-Year Housing Stock Change | Housing Stock 2022 | 10-Year Population Change | Population 2022 |
1 | Vineyard, Utah | Provo, Utah | 7,204% | 4,163 | 7,054% | 12,663 |
2 | Blackwells Mills, N.J. | New York | 1,980% | 2,871 | 2,292% | 10,047 |
3 | Fulshear, Texas | Houston | 1,138% | 6,732 | 1,200% | 21,552 |
4 | Woodbridge, Va. | Washington, D.C. | 692% | 14,563 | 838% | 42,619 |
5 | Nocatee, Fla. | Jacksonville, Fla. | 382% | 8,390 | 391% | 22,950 |
6 | Niskayuna, N.Y. | Albany, N.Y. | 368% | 8,434 | 319% | 20,629 |
7 | Horizon West, Fla. | Orlando, Fla. | 234% | 19,956 | 285% | 58,595 |
8 | Celina, Texas | Dallas | 233% | 6,958 | 237% | 21,501 |
9 | Melissa, Texas | Dallas | 228% | 4,953 | 192% | 15,244 |
10 | Palmview, Texas | McAllen, Texas | 215% | 4,401 | 175% | 15,245 |
11 | Silver Springs Shores, Fla. | Ocala, Fla. | 206% | 10,314 | 300% | 25,453 |
12 | Davenport, Fla. | Lakeland, Fla. | 203% | 3,267 | 248% | 10,246 |
13 | Manor, Texas | Austin, Texas | 202% | 4,572 | 178% | 15,341 |
14 | Wildwood, Fla. | The Villages, Fla. | 195% | 7,933 | 138% | 15,735 |
15 | Prosper, Texas | Dallas | 191% | 9,902 | 187% | 31,507 |
16 | Whitestown, Ind. | Indianapolis | 187% | 3,800 | 207% | 10,253 |
17 | Herriman, Utah | Salt Lake City | 165% | 16,238 | 136% | 55,301 |
18 | Fate, Texas | Dallas | 162% | 6,135 | 167% | 19,010 |
19 | Amelia, Ohio | Cincinnati | 158% | 5,272 | 146% | 12,388 |
20 | Airway Heights, Wash. | Spokane, Wash. | 155% | 3,054 | 70% | 10,570 |
“In a landscape characterized by flexible work setups and the post-pandemic search for more space, suburban and exurban areas are growing faster than urban cores,” said Doug Ressler, manager of business intelligence at Yardi Matrix. “High-growth suburbs are emerging in areas with natural scenery, especially appealing to remote workers and retirees, as well as in places with high-performing schools near medium or large metro areas with strong job markets, even when that means paying a premium on housing. This suburban boom allows people to enjoy more living space and provides access to more diverse housing.”
Advice for home buyers
Because of their higher ability for expansion, exurbs and suburbs outpaced cities in recent housing stock gains.
With the countrywide obstacles of little inventory and higher relative prices, exurbs could potentially offer aspiring homeowners more space and lower cost of living.
If you’re ready to begin your path to homeownership, reach out to a local mortgage lender today and get started.
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